Star Date: 18 March 2016 Friday

Captain's Log
Happy TGIF!

This last weekend of Winter will be a tad winter-like in the East with a storm system moving up the East Coast.  Fortunately it appears the EURO model that was forecasting widespread 12-18"+ snow totals from Central VA to New England including all the big cities from DC to Boston has backed off that idea.  A more general light snow event is possible on the first day of Spring (Sunday) from DC to Boston with a general 2-6" event with a narrow band of heavier snow possible from Wilmington Delaware to just East of Philly to just East of New York City where some could get 6-8" of very wet snow.  Boston and Eastern Mass area likely to get the most with 8-12" totals possible Sunday.  The US GFS model has been fairly consistent that this is a weaker event while the Euro has waffled more going from epic blizzard to not much back to moderate event so it has not been consistent.  Any snow will melt very quickly due to the high sun angle this time of year and a mostly daytime event.  For the U.S. overall this last weekend of Winter is the coolest in 3 years, 7th coldest of the past 25+ and 5th driest of the past 25+ years. Spring officially arrives Sunday at 12:30am EDT.

Next week a nationwide warm up going into the Easter holiday weekend which looks to be the warmest in 4 years but also 4th wettest in 25+ years.  It does look to get stormier with another round of moderate to heavy rain for the northern half of California Thr-Fri next week but very heavy rain and some severe weather from East Texas to Ohio.  More flooding likely in the Texas to Gulf Coast states where the last week of March looks to bring another 5"+ rain totals on already soggy ground and flooding rivers.

Have a great weekend folks! - Capt Kirk out.