Captain's Log 17 May '21 Taste of Summer!

Captain's Log

Happy Monday! :)



Last week (9-15 May) across the World shows the U.S. trending -0.6F cooler than last year, coldest in 36 years (much below average), 21% drier than last year, driest in 8 years, 11th driest in 36 years. CLICK ON IMAGES FOR A LARGER VIEW.

17 may log 1-min

Warmer across Canada but still below average and the driest in 36 years! Europe was the warmest in 3 years with above average temperatures so an uptick in seasonal category sales. Russia was also the warmest in 11 years.

17 may log 2-min



Spring (Mar - May) across the U.S. is trending 0.8F warmer than last year (above average temperatures) will make this the warmest Spring in 9 years and 6th warmest of the past 36 years. This is a favorable trend for Spring seasonal merchandise. Rainfall has been the least in 9 years, 16% less than last year and 8th least in 36 years. As a result, tornadoes and severe weather is actually down 30% vs last year, 30% below average and a whopping 68% less than they hyper active tornado season in 2011. Snowfall is down 25% vs last year, least in 11 years and 2nd least in 36 years. Overall these are very favorable trends for Spring merchandise sales!

17 may log 3-min

NOAA has claimed La Nina is done, but a look at the ocean temperatures still shows a cooler than average equatorial Pacific and models still show a slightly negative outlook for the balance of 2021. This will continue the dry cycles that have plagued South America, the U.S., China and parts of Northern India.

17 may log 4-min

Dry to drought phases across the U.S. remain at 61% which is the most widespread coverage since 2013 and well above the average of 43%. It's a wholesale change from 2019 which was extremely wet when only 9% of the country had drought. Weather Trends expects this dry cycle to intensify this Summer!

17 may log 5-min

This week (17-23 May) across the U.S. shows the U.S. having a first Summer-like warm up with national temperatures trending 1.9F warmer than last year making it the warmest in 25 years, 2nd warmest in 36 years! Rainfall remains below average trending 45% less than last year and least in 7 years.

17 may log 6-min

Next Week (24-30 May) turns a bit cooler vs last year, but still 14th warmest of the past 36 years. Rainfall remains on the below average side trending driest in 16 years nationally.

17 may log 7-min

For the World overall (17-30 May) the warm spots are in Eastern North America, Russia, Africa, the Middle East and Brazil.

We hope you have a great week, and don't forget to follow us on social media for frequent updates: Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Pinterest and Linkedin

- Captain Kirk out.