Meteorological Summer is considered 1 June - 31 August so we're 41% done...the Sun say's we're only day 17 into Summer (21 June - 22 September). While NOAA hasn't officially declared it a La Niña Summer yet, the Summer weather pattern around the world is classic La Niña and we can prove it.
Here in the U.S. Summer has been the hottest on record to date with rainfall the least in 4 years and 3rd least in 28 years.
The number of really hot days over 90F across the U.S. is the 2nd most in 25 years.
This has drought expanding in parts of the Central U.S. and especially so in the Southeast, Great Lakes and Northeast.
Looking at the ocean temperatures compared to this time last year we see a wholesale change from emerging record strong El Niño to now emerging La Niña.
Below the surface of the entire Equatorial Pacific Ocean from Australia to Ecuador we see hundreds of feet of much below normal water temperatures suggesting this La Niña event will go well into 2017.
Looking around the world shows classic La Niña with Southeast Asia going from a multi-year El Niño drought to the wettest conditions in 22 years. Australia droughts to wettest in 25+ years. West Africa wettest in over 25 years while the U.S. overall enters a dry pattern. The wet weather in Africa bodes well for a very active core hurricane season for the U.S. so strap in for some potentially major storms in the August - October time-frame.
The coldest weather in 25+ years is hitting the Northwest Rocky Mountains which is also a classic sign of La Niña while the Central and Eastern U.S. is about to bake big-time with the 2nd hottest mid-July heat-wave in 28 years.
For our farmer friends...keep the faith. Brazil CONAB just came out today (7 July 2016) with huge news that their Safrinha yields just plummeted another 14% from last month's bleak update that was already off 11%. They are now down a whopping 25% off yield projections issued back in March! That should rattle the world commodity markets as now the U.S. can not so much as have a hiccup on yields and we will have a big one! Brighter days ahead for America's Farmers! God Bless You - Keep the Faith!
- Capt Kirk out.