Captain's Log 12 Sep '21 Tropical Threats VERY HIGH

Captain's Log

Happy Sunday! :)

The World recap for last week (5-11 September) shows the U.S. trending +3.5F warmer than last year, 7th warmest in 36 years with much above average national temperatures. This is a significant negative for early Fall seasonal merchandise sales that perform better in cooler/wetter conditions. Rainfall in the U.S. was 55% drier than last year, driest in 16 years and 3rd driest in 36 years. These are very favorable trends for suspending allergens like ragweed and pollution in the air longer, making this peak allergy and asthma season particular severe for the millions that suffer with these conditions. CLICK ON IMAGES FOR A LARGER VIEW.

log 1-min

China was the warmest in 22 years, Canada the warmest in 10 years while Russia was the cool spot trending coolest in 17 years.

log 2-min

The tropics remain very active as expected with another landfalling Tropical Storm threat (#14 Nicholas) that's likely to dump flooding rain from Texas to Tennessee this week. The system appears to be a very slow mover so certainly something to watch. The rest of the Atlantic looks to remain very active with more landfalling threats for the Southeast, Florida, East Coast next week here in the peak of the hurricane season.

log 3-min

This week (12-18 September) continues the hot trends with the U.S. the warmest in over 36 years, national temperatures 5.6F warmer than last year - a huge negative for seasonal merchandise sales. The Pacific Northwest would be the lone favorable spot for early Fall seasonal categories that do better in cooler/wetter conditions. Rainfall again down 20% vs last year, but excessive in areas that don't need more rain from Texas to the Southeast.

log 4-min

Next week (19-25 September) looks to trend +3.8F warmer than last year, warmest in 4 years and 4th warmest in 36 years. Again, big negatives for early Fall seasonal merchandise sales but very high demand for allergy and asthma medications with a particular bad peak for the Fall season. The most favorable area will continue to be the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rock Mountain states. Rainfall again on the dry side, 16% less than last year and driest in 17 years. But, we need to watch Florida and up the East Coast for a land falling tropical system!

log 5-min

Fall officially arrives 3:21pm EDT Wednesday 22 September next week.

log 6-min

The 2-week world outlook shows the hot trends in North America while Russia and Central Siberia is the colder spot.

log 7-min

We end with some cool time lapse video from our 4 roof top weather cameras. This timelapse shows a spectacular setting sun, even the crescent moon setting shortly after and then a line of severe thunderstorms with non-stop cloud-to-cloud lightning. You can watch them live anytime free at:

We hope you have a great week and don't forget to follow us on social media for frequent updates: Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Pinterest and Linkedin

- Captain Kirk out.