Captain's Log 6 Apr '20 Big Warm Surge, Colder Easter, Better May
Written by Bill Kirk
April 06, 2020
Good morning! :)
God bless and protect the nurses, doctors and medical professionals...you are truly super heroes and we THANK YOU! CLICK ON IMAGES FOR A LARGER VIEW.
The next few days (6-8 April) will bring the warmest conditions of Spring so far to much of the country which means a big surge in pollen and a lot of allergy suffering. So when you see someone sneezing with a runny nose and water eyes...don't panic...probably allergies not COVID19! See today's video on how we might typically react when someone sneezes in this era (funny). The 6-8 April period trends the warmest in 8 years and driest in 7 years so this will bring a huge surge in pollen levels to many.
This week (6-12 April) before Easter starts off very warm with a cool finish, but the week overall trends 1.3F cooler than last year but still 9th warmest of the past 35 years with above average national temperatures. Rainfall is drier than last year and 16th wettest of the past 35 years (slightly below average nationally). Snowfall the least in 3 years and 18th least in 35 years.
The Easter weekend (10-12 April) shows the cold front has swept off the East Coast with the weekend period trending 6.1F colder than last year, 15th coldest in 35 years with below average national temperatures. Rainfall is wettest in 3 years and 14th wettest in 35 years with the most snowfall (high elevations Rockies) in 35 years.
Around the World, the Easter weekend shows very warm conditions in Europe and much of Russia.
Next week (13-19 April) shows the continued colder trends but a warm up late in the week. Nationally it appears to trend 2.2F cooler than last year and 16th coldest in 35 years with below average national temperatures. Recall middle April last year brought a huge surge in warmer weather and high seasonal category sales, not this year. Rainfall similar to last year's very wet conditions and more snowfall in the higher elevations, maybe out into the Plains.
Spring got off to a very strong start with the warmest conditions in 4 years and 3rd warmest in 35 years nationally. Snowfall was 3rd least in 35 years and least since 2012. Rainfall has been the wettest in 3 years but only a tad above average nationally trending 16th wettest of the past 35 years. Some cooler trends for the balance of April will lead to softening of demand for seasonal merchandise with an uptick in May!
Maybe we should change the narrative from "social distancing" to "physical distancing". Watching neighbors coming together, communities coming together, business, etc you certainly see "physical distancing" but the kindness of humanity is on display almost everywhere you look...even if we're 6 feet apart.
The Kirk's enjoyed a new addition to the family this weekend..."Spotty and Ruby" as the little Angelina calls her new gold fish.
With our anniversary family Disney vacation cancelled back in March due to COVID19, super hubby managed to single handily install a new water fountain for the Mrs. Captain Kirk. Her favorite place in PA is Longwood Gardens and their beautiful dancing water fountains...no dancing or music with this one, but happy wife nonetheless.