Star Date 11 February 2019 Monday

Captain's Log

Happy Monday! :)

About 51% of us have snow on the ground and even some snow for the coastal areas around the Philadelphia to Atlantic City area. U.S. snow cover for the date is the most in 5 years and above average. CLICK ON IMAGES FOR LARGER VIEW


The snow has been particularly heavy in the Pacific Northwest, even the coastal beaches. Even the Hawaiian Islands are being impacted by Winter with a huge Kona Low that brought 40+ foot waves to the North Shores, 191 mph wind gust to Mauna Kea on the Big Island and power outages with 40-60 mph wind gusts.


The current surface map this Monday morning shows a very large and complex weather pattern with the main storm developing in Texas and heading to Michigan over the next 36 hours; while a secondary low will track along the East Coast.


This will bring heavy snow to the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes with the main storm while an over-running event brings moderate snow to sleet to freezing rain to the East over the next 36 hours. Widespread 6"+ totals from Central Iowa through the Lakes into Northern PA into New England.


The 6-day snowfall outlook shows another Midwest system late in the week. Overall these systems will make it the snowiest middle February period in 12 years for the U.S. as a whole.


This week (11-17 Feb) will trend the coldest in 4 years, 12th coldest in 30 years for the U.S. overall, wettest in 21 years (2nd wettest in 30 years) and snowiest in 12 years with 336% more snow than last year. In the East it will go from cold early in the week, warm up late week and then cooling off again over the weekend.


Next week (18-24) will trend at least the 3rd coldest in 30 years for the U.S. and coldest in 4 years, 2nd wettest in 30 years (similar to last year) and snowiest in 4 years. Possible this is even colder in the East as we enter an MJO cycle 8 pattern which are typically very cold and snowy in the Eastern half of the U.S. The pattern is very similar to 1994 and 2003 and those went onto bring pretty epic cold and snow for the later half of February into middle March, so Winter will go out with a bang this year.


The little Angelina Kirk loves the snow but loves water more, so we headed to the indoor water park in the Poconos to enjoy some 84F and 90% humid conditions to escape the Winter. The only thing the made it clear we weren't on a tropical beach was the not so nice breeze of CHLORINE. But, the little one had a great time as evidence by the BIG SMILEY FACE and the next day ran to the door saying "car ride, jacket, slides, let's go" with her floaty in hand. :(

Have a great week and don't forget to follow us on social media for frequent updates.Facebook,Twitter,YouTube,PinterestandLinkedin

- Kirk out