Happy Thursday folks!
Let's talk snow, where we are and what lies ahead. Season to date snowfall across the U.S. is 40% below average, 23% less than last year and the 4th least to date in over 25 years. The Northeast is currently the region with near record LOW snowfall to date while the Southwest is having the most in 11 years. Here are some regional and city trends:
Northeast a whopping 75% below average and 67% less than last year, near 125 year low.
Bethlehem, PA 0.3" to date which is 10" below average and least in 9 years.
New York City 0.0" which is 7.8" below average and least in 9 years.
Buffalo, NY 17.4" below average and 2nd least in decades.
Caribou ME 41.1" least in 3 years and below average.
Cleveland, OH 6.5" least in decades and much below average.
Chicago, IL 20.7" above average and more than last year.
St. Louis, MO 0.7" least in 16 years and below average.
Minneapolis, MN 17.2" least in 3 years and below average.
Omaha, NE 16" most in 6 years and above average.
Denver, CO 26.1" most in 4 years and above average.
The favored track this season so far has been storms ejecting out of the Southwest up toward Chicago so areas in and around that path have seen near to above average snow in spots.
The next widespread nationwide snow storm looks to be a system moving into Central California around the 19th with heavy Sierra snowfall. From there it takes an easterly track across the U.S. with an "over-running" type event that are usually moderate snow producers in the 4-8" range. By the 20th it will be in the Central Rockies with heavier snow. The 21st it should eject out into the Central U.S. from Colorado to Illinois with a swath of widespread moderate snowfall. By the 22nd it will be from Illinois to New Jersey...hopefully NJ get's their first snow out of this system. This is a better set up for the Garden State vs Nor'easters which would bring in too much warm air off the very warm Atlantic Ocean. By the 23rd the system will be impacting the coastal Northeast with snow. Again, this track is different than previous events that have ejected up through the Great Lakes bringing a warm surge to the East Coast, probably not this time. Keep you posted.
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- Capt Kirk out.