THIS WEEK (25-31 JAN): 90% of the country will trend above average this week with the few slightly below average temps in Virginia, Florida and the Southern Rockies. Snowfall this week is substantially lighter with snowy areas in the West and primarily mountains of CA, NV, ID, UT and lighter amounts in the Upper Plains and Great Lakes. For the U.S. overall the week will trend the warmest in 4 years (above average) and 4th warmest of the past 25+ years. Rainfall is wettest in 3 years but still below average for the U.S. overall. See our facebook fan page for 6-day snowfall outlook across the U.S. Yes there is a slight chance for a Nor'easter Thursday - Friday but we're leaning toward this event staying off the coast and just clipping the Outer Banks of North Carolina (rain) and Cape Cod (snow).
NEXT WEEK (1-7 FEB): For the U.S. overall the week trends the warmest in 4 years (above average temps) and 8th warmest of the past 25+ years. It's the wettest in 8 years (much above average precip), 3rd wettest of the past 25+ years for the U.S. overall. There could be a brief very cold shot around the 4th-6th but appears it's transient. Snow will be very heavy from the Sierras to the Plains, Great Lakes and inland New England.
For the 2-weeks overall (25 Jan - 7 Feb) the world cold spots are China by far (even Hong Kong is shivering in cold and snow lately), the Middle East, Hudson Bay Canada and Greenland. The U.S. trends 5 to 10 degrees above average overall from Texas to Minnesota and points East (a cooler spot of 1 to 5 degrees above average near the immediate Middle Atlantic coast where heavier snow fell) while temps out West are near average to slightly below. The heaviest rainfall over the next 2 weeks is the West Coast with widespread 1-5" totals from Bakersfield California to Seattle WA, 3-4" in Florida. The Southwest U.S. quarter of the country looks generally dry.
For those of you attending the Top Producer Farm conference in Chicago this week, I'll see you there.
- Capt Kirk out.