Star Date 26 Jan 2016 Tuesday

Captain's Log
Happy Tuesday folks!

14-Day Outlook: We're getting a much needed reprieve this last week of January with national temperatures trending 4th warmest of the past 25+ years (+5.2F above average), wettest in 3 years but that's still 20% below average and not much snow with snowfall trending the least in 9 years and 60% below average. Nearly 97% of the U.S. trends above average with the few exceptions being extreme Southeast Arizona, extreme Southern Texas, North Central Florida and a tiny area around Washington D.C.

In today's facebook or YouTubevideo we show the following:
  • 6-day U.S. snowfall outlook - not much other than Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. The late week Nor'easter possibility is not going to happen as it zips out to sea with a very progressive pattern across the U.S. and Atlantic Ocean.

  • 1-14 Day storm systems with rain/snow/mix traversing North America and the Atlantic. Again, you'll notice the very fast pattern with ZERO blocking over Greenland. Good news for the Northeast if you don't want any more snow!

  • 1-14 Day temperature trends shows some colder air in the Feb 4-8 period but again this should be a transient shot of pretty cold air with a milder mid to late February period. Feb 2016 is going to be much warmer than the epic cold last year with the Northeast trending +0.5 to +3F above average for the month overall which is a whopping 10 to 17 degrees warmer than last year!!!

  • Global Ocean temperatures show our El Nino is weakening rapidly and shifting toward the Central Pacific Ocean. It's still in the strong category but on it's way to La Nina late in 2016!

  • January overall temperature trends vs normal show the month trending the warmest in 3 years with temps +0.1F warmer than last year's top 22 warm January in 120 years. The Northeast had the greatest change toward warmer weather.

  • January overall precipitation trends show 80% of the country had below normal precipitation with the wet spots in California, Nevada and Florida.

We hope your week is off to a great start!

-Capt Kirk out.